{"id":44858,"date":"2020-06-15T10:28:21","date_gmt":"2020-06-15T07:28:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/?p=44858"},"modified":"2020-06-15T10:30:16","modified_gmt":"2020-06-15T07:30:16","slug":"birlesik-krallik-avrupanin-virusten-en-kotu-etkilenen-ulkesinde-her-sey-nasil-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/2020\/06\/15\/birlesik-krallik-avrupanin-virusten-en-kotu-etkilenen-ulkesinde-her-sey-nasil-basladi","title":{"rendered":"Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k: Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n vir\u00fcsten en k\u00f6t\u00fc etkilenen \u00fclkesinde her \u015fey nas\u0131l ba\u015flad\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Covid-19 Genomikleri Konsortiyumu (Cog-UK) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rma, pandeminin B\u00fct\u00fcn Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’a tek bir ki\u015fi taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 teorisini \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc. Analiz ayn\u0131 zamanda pandeminin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer olan \u00c7in\u2019in Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’taki vaka say\u0131s\u0131nda ciddi bir etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. \u00c7in\u2019den ziyade ilk vakalar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden geldi.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’ta koronavir\u00fcs ile enfekte olan 20.000 ki\u015finin viral numunelerinin genetik kodunu inceledi. Daha sonra babal\u0131k testinin devasa bir uygulamas\u0131 gibi, genetik\u00e7iler vir\u00fcs\u00fcn devasa aile a\u011fac\u0131n\u0131 bir araya getirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131lar. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma uluslararas\u0131 seyahat verileriyle birle\u015ftirilerek Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131ktaki epideminin kayna\u011f\u0131na inilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma epideminin tek bir kayna\u011f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, en az 1356 kayna\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu. Bu kaynaklar\u0131n oldu\u011fu her durumda birisi vir\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131\u011fa getirdi ve bunun sonucu olarak vir\u00fcs yay\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Cog-UK ve Birmingham \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden Profes\u00f6r Nick Loman \u201cVard\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z sonu\u00e7 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 ve heyecan verici, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’taki epidemi vir\u00fcs\u00fcn bir\u00e7ok defa \u00fclkeye getirilmesiyle olu\u015ftu\u201d dedi ve ekledi: \u201cB\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131 ba\u015flatan tek bir ki\u015fi de\u011fildi.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen vakalar\u0131n % 0,1\u2019inden az\u0131 direk olarak \u00c7in\u2019den geldi. Aksine Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131ktaki koronavir\u00fcs epidemisi \u015eubat sonunda \u0130talya\u2019dan, Mart ba\u015f\u0131 ile ortas\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u0130spanya\u2019dan, Mart ortas\u0131 ve sonu aras\u0131nda ise Fransa\u2019dan seyahat edenlerle ba\u015flad\u0131. Oxford \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden Profes\u00f6r Oliver Pybus \u201cBizim i\u00e7in \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olan \u015fey s\u00fcrecin ne kadar ak\u0131\u015fkan bir \u015fekilde ilerledi\u011fiydi, vir\u00fcs\u00fcn oranlar\u0131 ve kayna\u011f\u0131 sadece birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fti\u201d dedi, Profes\u00f6r Loman ise \u201cBu tahmin edebilece\u011fimizden daha ge\u00e7 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u201d \u015feklinde ekledi.<\/p>\n

\"\"Ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n tahminlerine g\u00f6re ilk vakalar\u0131n % 80\u2019i \u00fclkeye, karantinaya girip girilmemesinin hen\u00fcz tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zamanda, 28 \u015eubat ile 29 Mart aras\u0131nda geldi. O tarihten sonra d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen vaka say\u0131s\u0131 h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen en erken vaka \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131 olarak belirlendi ancak analiz taraf\u0131ndan tespit edilemeyen daha erken vakalar olmas\u0131 da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, b\u00fcy\u00fck tart\u0131\u015fma konusu olan, 11 Mart\u2019taki Liverpool Atletico Madrid ma\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n vir\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fclkeye getirmede muhtemelen kayda de\u011fer bir etkisi olmad\u0131. Tahmini olarak yakla\u015f\u0131k 3000 taraftar \u0130spanya\u2019dan ma\u00e7\u0131 izlemeye geldi, ancak o d\u00f6nemde (Mart ortas\u0131) \u00fclkeye \u0130spanya\u2019dan her g\u00fcn 20.000 ki\u015fi geliyordu.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, bu bize futbol ma\u00e7lar\u0131 gibi organizasyonlar\u0131n tek ba\u015flar\u0131na \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan vir\u00fcs\u00fcn getirilmesinde ciddi bir etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak ara\u015ft\u0131rma bize ayn\u0131 zamanda karantinan\u0131n, vir\u00fcs\u00fcn yay\u0131lmas\u0131na ciddi sekte vurdu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Profes\u00f6r Loman \u201cE\u011fer burada iyi bir haber varsa o da \u015fu ki; yay\u0131lma zincirleri sosyal mesafe sonucunda bast\u0131r\u0131l\u0131p yok ediliyordu ve edilmeye devam ediyor ve biz de bunun etkisini g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Not: Avrupa a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u0130talya, \u0130spanya gibi \u00fclkelerin k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n s\u0131ras\u0131nda daha \u00e7ok kay\u0131p verdi\u011fi, daha fazla vaka say\u0131s\u0131na sahip olduklar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir ancak 15.06.2020 itibariyle Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, 294.379 vaka say\u0131s\u0131 ve 41.662 \u00f6l\u00fcm ile birlikte Avrupa genelinde en \u00e7ok vakaya sahip konumda. (bkz. https:\/\/covid19.who.int\/)<\/p>\n

\u00c7evirmenin notu: Bu haber ve haber i\u00e7erisinde bize sunulan veriler, ba\u015fka bir \u00fclkeye ait olsa da, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda yetkililer taraf\u0131ndan nelerin yanl\u0131\u015f yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zamanda bu veriler, e\u011fer do\u011fru p\u00fcf noktalar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nabilir ve \u00fclkemize uyarlanabilirse karantinadan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131za k\u0131lavuzluk edebilecek niteliktedir.<\/p>\n

Kaynak:<\/strong> https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/health-52993734<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Covid-19 Genomikleri Konsortiyumu (Cog-UK) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rma, pandeminin B\u00fct\u00fcn Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’a tek bir ki\u015fi taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 teorisini \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc. Analiz ayn\u0131 zamanda pandeminin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer olan \u00c7in\u2019in Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’taki vaka say\u0131s\u0131nda ciddi bir etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. \u00c7in\u2019den ziyade ilk vakalar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden geldi. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’ta koronavir\u00fcs ile enfekte olan 20.000 ki\u015finin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2027,"featured_media":44859,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[6824,609,5891,5898,492],"class_list":["post-44858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bilim-gundemi","tag-birlesik-krallik","tag-cin","tag-pandemi","tag-vaka","tag-virus"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t