{"id":63762,"date":"2024-12-06T09:37:16","date_gmt":"2024-12-06T06:37:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/?p=63762"},"modified":"2024-12-06T09:37:16","modified_gmt":"2024-12-06T06:37:16","slug":"erdogan-iktidari-turkiye-iktidari-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/2024\/12\/06\/erdogan-iktidari-turkiye-iktidari-mi","title":{"rendered":"Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye iktidar\u0131 m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ender Helvac\u0131o\u011flu<\/strong><\/p>\n

Toz duman biraz da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra Suriye\u2019deki saflar belirginle\u015fti. ABD, \u0130srail ve Saray-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 bir tarafta, Suriye h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, \u0130ran ve Rusya di\u011fer tarafta. Suriye\u2019yi yeniden kana bulay\u0131p b\u00f6lmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan sald\u0131rgan taraf, hedefine HT\u015e, SMO (\u00d6SO), YPG gibi aparatlar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ula\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Saflar\u0131n unsurlar\u0131n\u0131 sayarken, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u201d de\u011fil de \u201cSaray-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131\u201d dememin bir nedeni var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u201cSaray-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131\u201d bir T\u00fcrkiye iktidar\u0131 de\u011fildir. Netanyahu iktidar\u0131n\u0131n bile bir \u0130srail iktidar\u0131 oldu\u011fu, \u0130srail toplumunun bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 temsil etti\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir. Ama gelinen noktada Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 ve \u00e7evresinde yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u011fmac\u0131-mafyatik-vatans\u0131z burjuvazi i\u00e7in bunu s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Fethetti\u011fi topraklar\u0131 ganimet, toplumu k\u00f6le, co\u011frafyan\u0131n do\u011fal kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u011fmalanacak zenginlikler olarak g\u00f6ren bir i\u015fgal kuvveti gibiler. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin -b\u0131rakal\u0131m modernite birikimiyle- tarihi ve k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fcyle de bir ba\u011flar\u0131 yok. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131n\u0131 \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin aleyhine i\u015flere kalk\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar\u201d diye ele\u015ftirmenin fazla bir anlam\u0131 yok. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc onlar\u0131n \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131\u201d diye bir dertleri bulunmuyor; sadece kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ve iktidarlar\u0131n\u0131n devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 var.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 ikinci kez Suriye\u2019ye bal\u0131klama dal\u0131yor. BOP E\u015fba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk dal\u0131\u015f\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 biliniyor: \u00dclkenin demografisini de\u011fi\u015ftirecek \u00e7apta bir s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 ak\u0131n\u0131. Derdi T\u00fcrkiye toplumu olanlar i\u00e7in \u00e7ok ciddi bir sorun bu; ama Erdo\u011fan i\u00e7in yeni bir yanda\u015f kitlesi ve yeni k\u00f6leler.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ikinci dal\u0131\u015f\u0131n ne gibi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olabilir?<\/p>\n

Diyelim ki, HT\u015e-SMO katiller s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn harek\u00e2t\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015ft\u0131 ve Esat h\u00fck\u00fcmeti devrildi. Suriye\u2019nin bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak kaos co\u011frafyas\u0131na ve kan g\u00f6l\u00fcne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi kesin. Bu vah\u015fetten ka\u00e7maya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak milyonlar nereye s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaklar? Herhalde L\u00fcbnan\u2019a veya Irak\u2019a de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Diyelim ki Suriye h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yard\u0131m\u0131yla sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 p\u00fcsk\u00fcrtt\u00fc. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131ndan toplanm\u0131\u015f bu paral\u0131 askerler, bu vah\u015filer s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc nereye ka\u00e7acaklar? Kimden talepte bulunacaklar? Herhalde ABD veya \u0130srail\u2019den de\u011fil. Bu g\u00fcruhu kabul etmek zorunda kalacakt\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye (Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 devam ediyorsa h\u00e2l\u00e2).<\/p>\n

Bir olas\u0131l\u0131k daha var: Suriye\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7e ya da d\u00f6rde b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi. Bu durumda da -her an darmada\u011f\u0131n olabilecek- kocaman bir kaos co\u011frafyas\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacakt\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye. Tamamen ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in g\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u015feriat\u00e7\u0131 bir ter\u00f6r \u201cdevlet\u00e7i\u011fiyle\u201d kom\u015fu olmak da cabas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00fc\u00e7 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni felaketler anlam\u0131na gelir. Ama Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir sorun yok; birincisi yeni oy depolar\u0131, ikincisi ise yeni militan s\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc demek. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc ise Erdo\u011fan yanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n r\u00fcyas\u0131. \u015eimdiden ba\u015flad\u0131lar \u201c82. il Halep\u201d h\u00fclyalar\u0131na. Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ile T\u00fcrkiye toplumunun \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar ters d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6rnekleridir bunlar.<\/p>\n

Karamsar bir tablo \u00e7izdi\u011fimin fark\u0131nday\u0131m. Ama iyimser olmak i\u00e7in pek fazla veri yok elimizde. Bu iktidar\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131zdan defedememenin bedellerini \u00f6d\u00fcyoruz toplumca. Hem i\u00e7 y\u0131k\u0131m hem de d\u0131\u015f tehditler olarak. Umar\u0131m yak\u0131n zamanda durumu tersine \u00e7evirebiliriz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ender Helvac\u0131o\u011flu Toz duman biraz da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra Suriye\u2019deki saflar belirginle\u015fti. ABD, \u0130srail ve Saray-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 bir tarafta, Suriye h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, \u0130ran ve Rusya di\u011fer tarafta. Suriye\u2019yi yeniden kana bulay\u0131p b\u00f6lmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan sald\u0131rgan taraf, hedefine HT\u015e, SMO (\u00d6SO), YPG gibi aparatlar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ula\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Saflar\u0131n unsurlar\u0131n\u0131 sayarken, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u201d de\u011fil de \u201cSaray-Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131\u201d dememin bir nedeni var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":493,"featured_media":63763,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,2313],"tags":[580,5247,2952,9976],"class_list":["post-63762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bilim-gundemi","category-degirmen","tag-emperyalizm","tag-ender-helvacioglu","tag-erdogan","tag-suriye-savas"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/493"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63762"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63762\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}