{"id":67384,"date":"2026-03-31T00:00:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T21:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/?p=67384"},"modified":"2026-03-27T12:18:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T09:18:55","slug":"iranin-direnisinin-actigi-iyimser-olasilik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/31\/iranin-direnisinin-actigi-iyimser-olasilik","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n direni\u015finin a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 iyimser olas\u0131l\u0131k"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya tarihinde d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olma potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yan bir sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in t\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle \u00e7ullanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sa\u011flam direni\u015fi bu sava\u015fa b\u00f6yle bir nitelik kazand\u0131r\u0131yor. Tarih belki bu sava\u015f\u0131 (Rusya-Ukrayna cephesi ile birlikte) \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak yazacak. Belki de kendi stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6ze alan s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n ve devletlerinin bu giri\u015fimine dur demenin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak. Yani \u0130ran t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131 ad\u0131na da direnmektedir bug\u00fcn. Ba\u015fka bir a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u201cinsan unsuru\u201d, insans\u0131z teknolojiye kar\u015f\u0131 direniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Lenin\u2019in sava\u015f-devrim ili\u015fkisi \u00fczerine \u00fcnl\u00fc \u00f6nermesi bilinir: \u201cYa devrim sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nler ya da sava\u015f devrime yol a\u00e7ar.\u201d D\u00fcnya sava\u015flar\u0131na giden s\u00fcre\u00e7leri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, sava\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6nleyecek devrimlerin olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz. Ama \u00f6nermenin ikinci k\u0131sm\u0131 do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Birinci ve ikinci d\u00fcnya sava\u015flar\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck devrimler olu\u015ftu ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc sosyalizmi y\u00f6neldi. \u00c7ok ac\u0131l\u0131 ve y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 bir yoldur bu, ama emperyalist zincirin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131n ve k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fka bir yolunu hen\u00fcz olu\u015fturamad\u0131 insanl\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde insanl\u0131k yine bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fi\u011finde. Bat\u0131 emperyalizminin jandarmas\u0131 ABD, esas olarak \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fckseli\u015fini engellemek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtan ad\u0131mlar at\u0131yor. \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131 bu stratejinin bir ad\u0131m\u0131. Peki bug\u00fcn, ABD\u2019nin k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu sava\u015f -bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 a\u015famas\u0131na varmadan- \u00f6nlenebilir mi, \u00f6nlenme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var m\u0131? Yoksa yine g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131l\u0131kta bir sava\u015ftan sonra m\u0131 insanl\u0131k yeni bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yolu bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak?<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 devrimlerle veya benzer toplumsal direni\u015flerle engelleme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcne g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksektir insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n. Yani Lenin\u2019in \u00f6nermesinin ilk k\u0131sm\u0131, belki de ilk kez ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir. Sava\u015f k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 sava\u015f \u00e7\u0131karamadan tarihe g\u00f6m\u00fclebilirler. \u0130nsanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n direni\u015fi d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nleyebilir. Elbette, sava\u015flara yol a\u00e7an kapitalist-emperyalist sistemin tamamen tasfiye edilmesinden s\u00f6z etmiyoruz\u00b8 o \u00e7ok daha geni\u015f bir s\u00fcre\u00e7. Sistemin en emperyalist, en fa\u015fist kliklerinin tasfiyesinden ve temsilcileri olan s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n (k\u00fcresel burjuvazi) dizginlenmesinden s\u00f6z ediyoruz. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n direni\u015fi bu iyimser olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sava\u015f kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 kamuoyu var. ABD de dahil olmak \u00fczere Bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerindeki halklar da, kendilerini etkileyebilecek topyek\u00fbn bir sava\u015fa kar\u015f\u0131lar. Geni\u015fleyen bir sava\u015fta kendi \u00fclkelerinin de sava\u015f alan\u0131 olabilece\u011fini seziyorlar ve son \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131nda bu tehlikeyi somut olarak da ya\u015f\u0131yorlar. \u00d6te yandan, Bat\u0131 toplumlar\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 isteyenin ve k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtan\u0131n kendi h\u00fck\u00fcmetleri oldu\u011funu ve hakl\u0131 bir sava\u015f vermediklerini biliyorlar. Sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc temsilcileri (Trump ve Netanyahu), kendi halklar\u0131n\u0131n de \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc dahil olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131 nezdinde birer nefret objesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumdalar.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz somutunda Trump ve Netanyahu h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerini devirmekten ba\u015fka \u00e7aresi yok insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n. Burada g\u00f6rev en ba\u015fta ABD ve \u0130srail halk\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ama t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya toplumlar\u0131n\u0131n, hepimizin bu fa\u015fist kli\u011fi alt etmek ve dayand\u0131klar\u0131 insan unsurundan kopmu\u015f s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131 dizginlemek i\u00e7in yapabilece\u011fimiz \u015feyler var. \u0130nsanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bu b\u00fcy\u00fck karga\u015fadan -a\u011f\u0131r yaralar alsa da- aln\u0131n\u0131n ak\u0131yla \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na dair umudumuz art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">***<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de muhalif gazetecilere y\u00f6nelik bask\u0131 ve sald\u0131r\u0131lar giderek art\u0131yor. Son iki \u00f6rnek <em>DW T\u00fcrk\u00e7e<\/em> muhabiri <strong>Alican Uluda\u011f<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131na hakaret su\u00e7lamas\u0131yla, <em>Birg\u00fcn<\/em> gazetesi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131 <strong>\u0130smail Ar\u0131<\/strong>\u2019n\u0131n halk\u0131 yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 bilgi yayma su\u00e7lamas\u0131yla tutuklanmalar\u0131. \u0130ki arkada\u015f\u0131m\u0131z da emek\u00e7i halk\u0131n hakk\u0131n\u0131 savunan su\u00e7 \u00f6rg\u00fctlerine kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele eden haberlere imza atan de\u011ferli gazeteciler. Yanlar\u0131nday\u0131z. Derhal serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmal\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Dostlukla kal\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya tarihinde d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olma potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yan bir sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in t\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle \u00e7ullanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sa\u011flam direni\u015fi bu sava\u015fa b\u00f6yle bir nitelik kazand\u0131r\u0131yor. Tarih belki bu sava\u015f\u0131 (Rusya-Ukrayna cephesi ile birlikte) \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak yazacak. Belki de kendi stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6ze alan s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n ve devletlerinin bu giri\u015fimine dur demenin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":429,"featured_media":67385,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10479,509,38,510],"tags":[8697,4264],"class_list":["post-67384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-264-sayi","category-aydokumu","category-dergi-sayilari","category-surekli-bolumler","tag-bilim-ve-gelecek-aydokumu","tag-bilim-ve-gelecek-dergisi"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/429"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67384"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67384\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67387,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67384\/revisions\/67387"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bilimvegelecek.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}